Welcome to the Oddsmaker, where I use my limited knowledge of odds and legendary (in my own mind) gut instinct to predict future plot twists and devices in our favorite shows.

In Gossip Girl, the odds are that…
Blair tries to seduce Dan: 3:1
Blair succeeds in seducing Dan: 7:1
Rejected by Dan, Blair seduces Jenny instead:18:1

In Reaper, the odds are that…
Sam has to send Andi’s dad back to hell: 3:2
Sam does not send Andi’s dad back, so Satan takes his mother: 8:1
Satan gets a spin-off show: 50:1

In House, the odds are that…
Foreman returns to PPTH to start a rival diagnostic crew: 2:1
Cameron dyes her hair back to brown, because it looked so much better that way: 6:1
Chase’s jealousy of House causes him to downward spiral into drugs, ironically becoming more like House with every popped pill: 26:1

In Battlestar Galactica, the odds are that…
They find Earth: even
Earth sucks: 3:1
Earth is full of Cylons: 5:1
They don’t find Earth, and everyone dies: 100:1

Any predictions you feel fairly confident about this season?

Tuesdays are simple: House and Reaper (for now).

I’m enjoying the addition of wannabe assistants for House. Kal Penn is funny, that devious chick is driving me bananas, and the old man adds a bit of gravity to the proceedings. I almost wish we didn’t have to get the regulars back — at least Cameron and Foreman. I have a soft spot for Chase.

There’s not much to say about Reaper except that, like most of the new shows, its fate is hanging in the balance. It’s becoming increasingly clear to me that of Chuck and Reaper, only one can survive. I wasn’t too disappointed with yesterday’s Chuck, so we’ll see how the match-up goes this week.

We interrupt your regularly scheduled programming: Watch Michael Apted’s 49 Up on PBS.

Last night, I realized that my original opinion of Chuck and Reaper had reversed. I knew it was too soon (and is still too soon) to really know how a show is going to pan out, but the internet makes it so easy to spout an opinion. So here I go again, no doubt in preparation for completely changing my mind again next week.

Since I find it impossible to think about these two shows independent from one another, there must always be a “winner” in my head. This week, the winner was resoundingly Reaper.

Reaper seems relaxed and unhurried compared to Chuck’s manic MUST ENTERTAIN! WHEEE! pace. Sam struck me as charming and sweet whereas Chuck seems increasingly idiotic and hopeless. Though they’re both utterly ridiculous, the premise of Reaper is a heckuva lot easier to grasp in one sentence than Chuck’s brain-computer-image-thingy. I started to feel a — dare I say it? — Buffy-ish vibe from Reaper’s calm look at the sometimes silly face of evil, whereas Chuck’s vibe can only be described as desperate.

In next week’s match-up, I’m hoping both shows figure out that they are in need of a b-story. Just a little something for Captain Awesome and Sam’s brother Kyle (if I got to choose) to do on their own, because the weight of the whole plot is crushing Chuck and could very well get to Sam, too.

What do you think?

I should get an ambiguous job in consulting.

• You Ain’t No Picasso compiles songs for Heroes. Two seasons worth, in fact.
• Jane Seymour’s future on Dancing With the Stars is uncertain after her mother’s death.
• Which Hero are you? Take this quiz. It’s a throwback to the late nineties.
• There won’t be a Deadwood movie.
• House won’t be available anymore on iTunes.
• Reaper’s Ray Wise talks to USA Today.
• Athiests everywhere say “I told you so” as Comedy Central renews Mind of Mencia.
• MSN does a TV geek survey.
• CBS is going to air a Lonesome Dove prequel.
• T.R. Knight has learned a lot by coming out.
• Hulk Hogan will host American Gladiators.
• The makers of Cane are defending their choice to cast non-Cubans.
• An interview with the dude who plays Raja on from Aliens in America.
• The mother of the pack on Meerkat Manor is dead at six.
• In housekeeping news, you should read the two comments that are up on the Greys Anatomy mad lib post. Pretty funny stuff.  Also, you can enter our Nip/Tuck giveaway! Click here to read all about it.

Warning: Avert Your Eyes! Cavemen, the sitcom based on the Geico cavemen ads, premieres tonight on ABC. Be very careful, everyone, and keep your finger poised to change the channel at any moment. Carpoolers premieres directly after that, and while it doesn’t look nearly as bad (and I kind of like Jerry O’Connell — what?), it’s still one of my first picks for early cancellation. Besides, I can’t watch either of these because of the House/Reaper juggernaut clogging up the tifaux.

Yay House and his class full of people to make fun of! House is my one true procedural, and it goes to great lengths to break up the formula whenever possible. That’s one of the reasons I like it so much. The other reasons: great writing, and Hugh Laurie.

Reaper gets a season pass (and a category tag) based on last week’s premiere. I’m a little concerned it’s going to rely too heavily on a “monster-of-the-week” formula, but if the characters are engaging enough (and Ray Wise creepy enough), I’ll go with it. And as long as it doesn’t have a second-week fall-off like Chuck (seriously, Chuck needs to get a b-story, and quick), I think we’ll be all right.

We interrupt your regularly scheduled programming: I miss last year’s Tuesdays. Gilmore Girls and Veronica Mars and House all together? We were so full of witty repartee we practically became Noel Coward by the end of the night. Those were the days.

I went to sleep at 10 last night. That’s ridiculous.

• Tim Gunn is warning us we’re going to be pissed Nina, Michael and Heidi.
• Top Chef 4 has begun shooting.
• Paula Abdul doesn’t want to do any more reality TV, but does wants babies.
• Kevin Smith talks to TV Guide about Reaper.
• One of the new Heroes wonder twins talks to TV Guide too.
• Here’s a chat with Top Chef’s Dale.
• If you watched Traveler, here are all the mysteries — solved.
• TV writers may strike.
• An interview with Creed from The Office.
• A 30 second commercial on Grey’s Anatomy will cost you $419,000.
• E-Kristin does a spoiler chat.
• Sci Fi has some Lost spoilers.
• Watch Dexter and Brotherhood online (password: killer shows).